Democratic Early Voting Firewalls Too Small or Missing? Seven Days To Go! (with Taylor Lorenz, Gabe Fleisher and Mark Sutton)

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By the time you hear this episode, we will have less than seven days until Election Day.

Here are the metrics I am looking at…

Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin: Trump 54% to win

Jon Ralston’s Nevada Early Voting Blog: GOP has 38,000 ballot advantage

VoteHub Early Voting Counter

And here is the math comparing the final tallies in Nevada and Arizona…

Electoral History of Nevada:

Biden +2.5

Clinton +2.5

Obama +6.5

Obama +12.5

Electoral History of Arizona:

Biden + Less than .5

Trump + 3.5

Romney +9

McCain +8.5

How much more Democratic is Nevada than Arizona?

2008: 21

2012: 15.5

2016: 6

2020: 2

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On this episode of the show we welcome

Taylor Lorenz

for the first time. We discuss independent media, the blogging revolution of the 2000s and an unfortunate tweet. Also, Wake Up To Politics’

Gabe Fleisher

helps us look at the final hours of this contest. And finally,

Mark Sutton

helps us break down the gender gap.

Let’s go!