Things polling get right in 2024:
Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)
Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)
Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)
But beyond that… we have some real questions.
believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small.
Should We Ever Trust Polls Again? (with Carl Allen)